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Motivated by the linkage between credit and growth in the Greek economy, and the deceleration of credit since the financial crisis, this paper studies the evolution of credit demand and supply in Greece. A disequilibrium model of demand and supply is estimated spanning the period 2003M1-2011M3....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015298940
In the aftermath of the financial crisis, the role of monetary policy and macro-prudential regulation in promoting financial stability is under discussion. The old debate concerning whether monetary policy should respond to credit and asset price bubbles was revived, whereas macro-prudential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015298922
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015301837
The dynamic behavior of the term structure of interest rates is difficult to replicate with models, and even models with a proven track record of empirical performance have underperformed since the early 2000s. On the other hand, survey expectations are accurate predictors of yields, but only...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015302483
We develop a dynamic general equilibrium model for the positive and normative analysis of macroprudential policies. Optimizing financial intermediaries allocate their scarce net worth together with funds raised from saving households across two lending activities, mortgage and corporate lending....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015298365
Over the last two centuries, the cross-spectral coherence between either narrow or broad money growth and inflation at … other countries, thus implying that the fraction of inflation’s long-run variation explained by long-run money growth has …, being for long periods of time smaller than one. The unitary gain associated with the quantity theory of money appeared in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005002808
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015312020
We use inflation and income growth expectations from the ECB Consumer Expectations Survey to measure the subjective … expected pass-through of inflation to income in the main euro area countries. By aggregating consumers' responses to … methodology allows one to examine how the pass-through varies along the probability distribution of expected inflation, which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015320536
This paper investigates the interplay between discretionary fiscal policy and inflation in the euro area, emphasizing … on inflation is non-linear, with debt levels significantly affecting the inflationary outcome of fiscal measures. High … debt levels tend to amplify the inflation response to fiscal expansions, a finding that holds under multiple analytical …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015320972
This paper analyses the predictive power of market-based and survey-based inflation expectations for actual inflation …. We use the data on inflation swaps and the forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters for the euro area and … power for inflation developments, as compared to statistical benchmark models. Therefore, for horizons of one and two years …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015296688