In the ECB's Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) for the fourth quarter of 2024, expectations for headline HICP inflation were largely unchanged from the previous survey (conducted in the third quarter of 2024), although expectations for 2025 were revised downwards slightly. Headline...

In the ECB's Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) for the fourth quarter of 2024, expectations for headline HICP inflation were largely unchanged from the previous survey (conducted in the third quarter of 2024), although expectations for 2025 were revised downwards slightly. Headline...

To assist respondent banks in filling out the questionnaire, this glossary defines the most important terminology used in the bank lending survey. This glossary has been revised together with the introduction of the enhanced bank lending survey questionnaire in April 2015.

This paper explores the impact of the regulatory leverage ratio (LR) on banks' demand for reserves and thus the pricing of overnight liquidity in the euro area money markets. We use daily transaction-level money market data during the period between January 2017 February 2023 and examine the two...

In this paper, we highlight the role of global value chains in the synchronization of economic activity between countries in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) and the euro area. We start off by demonstrating that the degree of synchronization of the business cycles of CEE countries and their main...

We study the business cycle properties of the four largest euro area economies in the wake of the recent recession episodes. The analysis is based on the factors estimated from a multi-country and multi-sector data-rich environment. We measure alikeness of business cycles by studying the...