Showing 1 - 10 of 487
a special focus on persistence of real wages,wage and price inflation. The analysis is conducted within a structural …, as well as the cointegrating properties of theestimated system. Overall, in the long run, wage and price inflation emerge …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866514
unexpected gas price supply shocks on HICP inflation in the euro area and its four largest economies. In comparison to oil price … shocks, gas price shocks have approximately one-third smaller pass-through to headline inflation. Country-specific results … indicate gas price increases matter more for German, Spanish and Italian inflation than for French inflation, hinging on the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015274997
, consumption, investment and unemployment)has a distinct dynamic from disagreement about nominal variables(inflation and interest … series. Countryby-country regressions for inflation and interest... …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866467
Forecasting the world economy is a di¢ cult task given the complex interre-lationships within and across countries. This paper proposes a number ofapproaches to forecast short-term changes in selected world economic vari-ables and aims, …rst, at ranking various forecasting methods in terms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005866572
The ECB Forum on Central Banking is an annual event organised by the European Central Bank which has been held in the beautiful surroundings of Sintra, Portugal, since 2014. It provides a unique opportunity for central bank governors, academics, high-level financial market representatives,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015297743
The ECB Forum on Central Banking is an annual event organised by the European Central Bank which has been held in the beautiful surroundings of Sintra, Portugal, since 2014. It provides a unique opportunity for central bank governors, academics, high-level financial market representatives,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015297754
This paper studies factors behind inflation dynamics in the euro area, the UK and the US. It introduces a factor … inflation in the three economies. The FAVAR model framework is also applied to study the effects on inflation subcomponents in … the more recent past. The FAVAR models suggest that headline inflation in the three economies has reacted in a relatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015299048
This paper studies euro changeover-related inflation using disaggregated price level data. The difference … segments. Changeover-related inflation was higher for products that were relatively cheaper than the euro area average …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015301955
consumers and price determination. In addition, these may have implications for the measurement of consumer prices and inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015308961
This article measures the degree of potential de-anchoring of inflation expectations in the euro area vis-à-vis the … inflation objective of the European Central Bank (ECB). A no-arbitrage term structure model that allows for a time-varying long …-term mean of inflation expectations, π ∗ t , is applied to inflation-linked swap (ILS) rates, while taking into account survey …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015275004