The information content of broad money M3 for future GDP inflation in the euro area is investigated from a number of … real M3 holdings, real GDP, inflation and short- and long-term interest rates. Secondly, this empirical framework is … predictive power for future inflation. And thirdly, the P-star type of model developed is compared with an existing rival model …

indicators in predicting euro area HICP inflation out-of-sample over the period first quarter 1999 till third quarter 2006 …

We use realised variances and co-variances based on intraday data from Eurozone sovereign bond market to measure the … dependence structure of eurozone sovereign yields. Our analysis focuses on the impact of news, obtained from the Eurointelligence … Markets Programme (SMP) mitigate the negative crisis spillovers among the distressed countries and reduce the flight …

-term interest rates to the Bank of England’s inflation report andto macroeconomic announcements. Due to the quarterly frequency at …, the more timehas elapsed since the latest release of an inflation report, market volatility shouldincrease, the price …

a special focus on persistence of real wages,wage and price inflation. The analysis is conducted within a structural …, as well as the cointegrating properties of theestimated system. Overall, in the long run, wage and price inflation emerge …

food price shocks on a given set of countries.Secondly, we assess the importance of inflation linkages among countries, by …