Showing 1 - 10 of 83
Equilibrium correction models of the price level are often used to model inflation. Such models assume that the long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005079101
In most OECD countries, we cannot reject up to three breaks in the mean of inflation: one break in the late 1960’s … phenomena. We also show that ignoring breaks in the mean of inflation clearly lead to overrate inflation persistence in standard … bi-variate models of inflation. The response of inflation to shocks in these models is markedly faster with breaks than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005162906
While up to the late 1990s Japanese foreign exchange intervention was fully sterilized, Japanese monetary authorities left foreign exchange intervention unsterilized when Japan entered the liquidity trap in 1999. According to previous research on foreign exchange intervention, unsterilized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530723
This paper analyses the degree of inflation persistence in the EU15, the euro area and each of its member states using … moderate degree of median and mean inflation persistence. For most price indices we are able to reject the unit root hypothesis …, as well as the notion of disaggregate inflation exhibiting a high degree of persistence. Durable goods and services tend …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530795
We propose a method for estimating a subset of the parameters of a structural rational expectations model by exploiting changes in policy. We define a class of models, midway between a vector autoregression and a structural model, that we call the recoverable structure. As an application of our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005222384
The power of standard panel cointegration statistics may be affected by misspecification errors if proper account is … when testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration that retain good properties in terms of empirical size and power … panel cointegration statistics rely on the assumption of cross-section independence, a generalisation of the tests to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005033432
We evaluate residual projection strategies in the context of a large-scale macro model of the euro area and smaller benchmark time-series models. The exercises attempt to measure the accuracy of model-based forecasts simulated both out-of-sample and in-sample. Both exercises incorporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005530768
equilibrium level implied by the model seem to contain information on future changes in inflation, though not on its level. JEL …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005344909
We model the determinants of loans to non-financial corporations in the euro area. Using the Johansen (1992) methodology, we identify three cointegrating relationships. These relationships are interpreted as the long-run loan demand, investment and loan supply equations. The short-run dynamics...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004969181
impact on the cointegration properties in empirical modelling, the monetary model in Coenen & Vega (2001) based on fixed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008480911