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In this paper we decompose the Serial Correlation Common Feature (SCCF) of Engle and Kozicki (1993) in the frequency … series with a zero spectral density at some frequency. Estimation and inference can be performed using an Instrumental … Variables (IV) approach or a Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA). The asymptotic and finite sample properties are studied and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612024
Based on daily VDAX data this paper analyzes the factors governing the movements of implied volatilities of options on the German stock index DAX. Using Principal Components Analysis over the sample period from 1996 to 1997, we derive common factors representing "shift" and "curvature" of the...
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The annual structure of the real GDP in the UK, France, Germany and Italy is examined in this article by means of fractionally integrated techniques. Using a version of a testing procedure due to Robinson (1994), we show that the series can be specified in terms of I(d) statistical models with d...
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To assess the predictive content of the interest rate term spread for future economic growth, we distinguish short-run from long-run predictability by using two different approaches. First, following Dufour and Renault (1998) a test procedure is proposed to test for causality at different...
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