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Fractionally integrated processes have become a standard class of models to describe the long memory features of economic and financial time series data. However, it has been demonstrated in numerous studies that structural break processes and non-linear features can often be confused as being...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851300
This paper proves consistency and asymptotic normality for the conditional-sum-of-squares estimator, which is equivalent to the conditional maximum likelihood estimator, in multivariate fractional time series models. The model is parametric and quite general, and, in particular, encompasses the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010935035
application to financial volatility series is offered. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005787527
The paper presents a comparative study on the performance of commonly used estimators of the fractional order of integration when data is contaminated by noise. In particular, measurement errors, additive outliers, temporary change outliers, and structural change outliers are addressed. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005198828
This paper extends the local polynomial Whittle estimator of Andrews & Sun (2004) to fractionally integrated processes covering stationary and non-stationary regions. We utilize the notion of the extended discrete Fourier transform and periodogram to extend the local polynomial Whittle estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440065
We discuss the moment condition for the fractional functional central limit theorem (FCLT) for partial sums of x_{t}=Delta^{-d}u_{t}, where d in (-1/2,1/2) is the fractional integration parameter and u_{t} is weakly dependent. The classical condition is existence of qmax(2,(d+1/2)^{-1}) moments...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008680679
Recent work by Engle and Lee (1999) shows that allowing for long-run and short-run components greatly enhances a GARCH model’s ability fit daily equity return dynamics. Using the risk-neutralization in Duan (1995), we assess the option valuation performance of the Engle-Lee model and compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005440037
We consider the nonstationary fractional model $\Delta^{d}X_{t}=\varepsilon _{t}$ with $\varepsilon_{t}$ i.i.d.$(0,\sigma^{2})$ and $d1/2$. We derive an analytical expression for the main term of the asymptotic bias of the maximum likelihood estimator of $d$ conditional on initial values, and we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851220
volatility equation are consistent and normally distributed in large samples independently of the degree of persistence. This … other hand, the intercept in the volatility equation is not identifi?ed when the covariate is non-stationary which is akin … with explosive volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010851299
. Moreover, spot and futures price data tend to display clear patterns of time-varying volatility which also has the potential to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010886799