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Risky Oil : It's All in the Tails
Baumeister, Christiane; Huber, Florian; Marcellino, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
The substantial fluctuations in oil prices in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have highlighted the importance of tail events in the global market for crude oil which call for careful risk assessment. In this paper we focus on forecasting tail risks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801
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Empirical simultaneous confidence regions for path-forecasts
Jordà, Òscar; Knüppel, Malte; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003960556
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Path forecast evaluation
Jordà, Òscar (contributor);  … - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003787643
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Forecasting large datasets with Bayesian reduced rank multivariate models
Carriero, Andrea; Kapetanios, George; Marcellino, … - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897081
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MIDAS vs. mixed-frequency VAR : nowcasting GDP in the euro area
Kuzin, Vladimir; Marcellino, Massimiliano; Schumacher, … - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003897086
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The reliability of real time estimates of the Euro area output gap
Marcellino, Massimiliano; Musso, Alberto - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003960139
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Forecasting government bond yields with large Bayesian VARs
Carriero, Andrea; Kapetanios, George; Marcellino, … - 2010
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003960521
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Markov-switching MIDAS models
Guérin, Pierre; Marcellino, Massimiliano - 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008935686
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Pooling versus model selection for nowcasting with many predictors : an application to German GDP
Kuzin, Vladimir; Marcellino, Massimiliano; Schumacher, … - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003826917