[...]This article evaluates the short-term economic consequencesof the attack on Manhattan and the four other boroughsthat make up New York City. We begin with the deepest loss—that of human lives. We then look at the effects of the attack onthe inputs to the production process: labor and...

[...]This article describes the institutional and economic settingof the fails problem and suggests why that problem led policymakers to depart so significantly from previous debtmanagement practices. The next section sets the stage byreviewing how investors establish beneficial ownership...

[...]In this article, we provide new evidence of the importance ofthe coordination mechanism that banks use in their normalpayments activity to provide liquidity. We do so by firstoutlining the sources of funding for banks’ payments activity, thus highlighting the role of expected incoming...

[...]In this article, we analyze the effects of September 11 on thelonger run prospects for the New York City economy. We findthat, on the one hand, several downside risks to the city’sgrowth outlook have arisen. In a worst-case scenario, theconcentration of the attack on Lower Manhattan has...

[...]In this article, we consider what these risks, and the publicperception of them, mean for cities in general and for thefuture of New York City in particular. We begin by examiningthe question of why cities exist at all. Only by answering thisimportant question can we think more clearly...

[...]This article describes a method by which we may moreaccurately predict regional economic activity. Specifically, wedevelop an index of leading economic indicators (LEI) forNew York State and for New Jersey over the 1972-99 period.We extend our earlier work (Orr, Rich, and Rosen 1999),...

This paper explores the connections betweenbroad economic indicators in the New Yorkmetropolitan region and their national counterparts.It compares the performance of theregion in recent years with that of the nation and assessesthe importance of national and local developments for thearea’s...

[...]This paper analyzes the industrial restructuringprocess in the New York metropolitan area in the first halfof the 1990s.1 It shows that the restructuring was accompaniedby a decline in the labor force, particularly in NewYork, where the decline persisted through the first half ofthe 1990s....

As correctly noted by Matthew Drennan in his paper forthis conference, the nature of the transformation that hasoccurred in the New York metropolitan region since 1989is rather mixed. Although the region has regained onlyhalf of the 625,000 jobs it lost during the 1989-92 period,aggregate...

The securities industry in the New York–New Jerseyregion is currently enjoying strong growth in employmentand salaries. The industry is particularly important to theregion because it is concentrated locally and pays highwages. Although vulnerable to stock and bond marketfluctuations, the...