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This paper proposes a rating methodology that is based on a non-linear classification method, the support vector machine, and a non-parametric technique for mapping rating scores into probabilities of default. We give an introduction to underlying statistical models and represent the results of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207929
Joint written testimony before the Congressional Oversight Panel, Washington, D.C.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010724976
Testimony before the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, Washington, D.C.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010724986
Remarks at 2013 Resolution Conference: Planning for the Orderly Resolution of a Global Systemically Important Bank, Washington, D.C.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010724989
liability rules and bankruptcy laws decreases as exogenous sources of uncertainty become relatively more important, and … increases with the opportunity for moral hazard (related to diligence, risk taking, or deception). Second, bankruptcy laws …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005784849
specific risks. There are many reasons to use nonlinear techniques for predicting bankruptcy from financial ratios. Here we … the Creditreform database. The results reveal that the most important eight predictors related to bankruptcy for these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005677958
Thousands of U.S. households filed for bankruptcy just before the bankruptcy law changed in 2005. That rush-to-file was … more pronounced, we find, in states with more generous bankruptcy exemptions and lower credit scores. We take that finding … as evidence that the new law effectively reduces exemptions, which in turn should reduce the ?demand? for bankruptcy and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420478
We argue that the 2005 bankruptcy abuse reform (BAR) contributed to the surge in subprime foreclosures that followed … its passage. Before BAR, distressed mortgagors could free up income by filing bankruptcy and having their unsecured debts … home equity bankruptcy exemptions; filers in low-exemption states were not very protected before BAR, so they would be less …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420628
market competition, lending to households, and personal bankruptcy rates in the United States. We exploit the exogenous … decreased, and (3) bankruptcy rates rose. Further, we find that lending and bankruptcy rates increased more in states with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420638
In many economic applications it is desirable to make future predictions about the financial status of a company. The focus of predictions is mainly if a company will default or not. A support vector machine (SVM) is one learning method which uses historical data to establish a classification...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008568137