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Remarks at the Rotary Club of Nashville, Nashville, Tennessee, July 20, 2009
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Cubic splines have long been used to extract the discount, yield, and forward rate curves from coupon bond data. McCulloch used regression splines to estimate the discount function, and, more recently, Fisher, Nychka, and Zervos used smoothed splines, with the roughness penalty selected by...
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In this paper we investigate the recently documented trading profits based on technical trading rules in an asset pricing framework that incorporates jump risk and time-varying risk premia. Following Brock, Lakonishok, and LeBaron (1992), we apply popular technical trading rules to the daily S&P...
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the discount rate function directly to bond prices. ; The tests demonstrate the dangers of in-sample goodness-of-fit as … detect misspecification of the underlying pricing equation relating the term structure to bond prices. These tests establish … the presence of unspecified, but nonetheless systematic, omitted factors in the prices of long maturity notes and bonds …
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I analyze a model in a simple representative-agent economy with one risky and one riskless asset, populated by habit-forming consumer-investors. These consumer-investors exhibit nonaddictive habit formation in the sense that the current consumption rate of the consumer-investors can fall below...
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