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dynamic response of inflation to different shocks, including nominal public debt, results show that a number of SSA countries … primary surpluses to public debt; or by a consistent adoption of a monetary dominant regime. However, a number of countries … public debt affect price variability via aggregate demand effects, suggesting that fiscal outcomes could be a direct source …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769262
Inflation followed a strikingly uniform pattern in all countries of the Middle East, North Africa, and Central Asia during the period 1996-2009, falling until about 2000 and then rising. International fuel prices do not help explain this pattern. This conclusion is robust even when different...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008542985
A discussion of the circumstances under which interest rate rules are consistent with nominal determinacy in macroeconomic models.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005526598
This paper evaluates the performance of two alternative policy rules, a forward-looking rule and a spontaneous adjustment rule, under alternative inflation targets, in terms of output losses in a macroeconomic model, using European Union data. The simulations suggest that forward-looking rules...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605065
Monetary policy, at least in part, operates through both an interest rate and credit channel. The question arises, therefore, whether monetary policy is a less potent a device in affecting output and inflation in countries that have low levels of credit and where investment and consumption are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005605381
This paper highlights that central banks from Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru (the LA5 countries) reaped the benefits of what they sowed in successfully weathering the global crisis. The adoption of far-reaching institutional, policy, and operational reforms during the last two decades...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008777018
The introduction of inflation targeting in 2006, together with important economic developments such as dedollarization, marked the beginning of a new macroeconomic framework in Armenia, which is likely to have changed the effectiveness of monetary policy. This paper is the first attempt to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008777023
An examination of a procedure for comparing non-nested models to the problem of choosing an intermediate target for monetary policy. Six models of economic activity, based on six different monetary aggregates, are compared.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428295
This paper presents new evidence on how asset prices respond to new information about the money stock. It shows that the information content of money stock announcements and the response of asset prices to new information in the announcements vary with changes in the monetary policy regime, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428402
In this paper, we present a simple random-matching model in which different seasons translate into different propensities to consume and produce. We find that the cyclical creation and destruction of money is beneficial for welfare under a wide variety of circumstances. Our model of seasons can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005428405