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This paper constructs tests for the presence of nonlinearity of unknown form in addition to a fractionally integrated, long memory component in a time series process. The tests are based on artificial neural network structures and do not restrict the parametric form of the nonlinearity. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106408
This paper considers estimation and inference in some general non linear time series models which are embedded in a strongly dependent, long memory process. Some new results are provided on the properties of a time domain <i>MLE</i> for these models. The paper also includes a detailed simulation study...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106456
methodology is motivated by some recent economic theory literature on transactions costs, the limits to speculation and hysteresis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106315
Daily futures returns on six important commodities are found to be well described as FIGARCH fractionally integrated volatility processes, with small departures from the martingale in mean property. The paper also analyzes several years of high frequency intra day commodity futures returns and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106465
This paper introduces a new long memory volatility process, denoted by Adaptive <i>FIGARCH</i>, or <i>A-FIGARCH</i>, which is designed to account for both long memory and structural change in the conditional variance process. Structural change is modeled by allowing the intercept to follow a slowly varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005106466