In a speech at Xavier University in Cincinnati, Ohio, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President and CEO Sandra Pianalto discussed why the economic outlook is so important to the monetary policymaking process and what goes into economic forecasting. She also shared her economic outlook.

A presentation of a quantitative general equilibrium model showing that a revenue-neutral flat tax can permanently boost per capita growth by 0.18 to 0.85 percentage point annually, and that the lower marginal tax rate and the full investment write-off are both important contributors to the...

The authors examine the inflation take-off of the early 1970s in terms of the expectations trap hypothesis, according to which fear of violating the public’s inflation expectations pushed the Fed into producing high inflation. This interpretation is compared with the Phillips curve hypothesis,...