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We estimate a three-country model using 1995-2013 data for Germany, the Rest of the Euro Area (REA) and the Rest of the World (ROW) to analyze the determinants of Germany’s current account surplus after the launch of the Euro. The most important factors driving the German surplus were positive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010772600
This essay argues that the Achilles heel of the international monetary and financial system is that it amplifies the “excess financial elasticity” of domestic policy regimes, ie it exacerbates their inability to prevent the build-up of financial imbalances, or outsize financial cycles, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114878
In analysing the performance of the international monetary and financial system (IMFS), too much attention has been paid to the current account and far too little to the capital account. This is true of both formal analytical models and historical narratives. This approach may be reasonable when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114883
We investigate whether the classic Mundell-Flemming "trilemma" has morphed into a "dilemma" due to financial globalisation. According to the dilemma hypothesis, global financial cycles determine domestic financial conditions regardless of an economy's exchange rate regime and monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011160715
We analyze how the role of different national currencies as international reserves was affected by the shift from fixed to flexible exchange rates. We extend data on the currency composition of foreign reserves backward and forward to investigate whether there was a shift in the determinants of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084970
business cycle co-movement while credit market integration (debt) has a positive effect. We then construct a model that can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321090
In an economy in which debt obligations are fixed in nominal terms, but there are otherwise no nominal rigidities, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009365619
We examine the effects of foreign currency-indexed debt upon inflationary expectations in Brazil and Mexico …. Conjecturing that markets will view increasing overhangs of foreign currency-indexed debt as a commitment technology that fiscally … results are consistent with the notion that increasing the share of dollar indexed debt may also permit some temporary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005712607
Breaches in intercreditor equity are common ground during sovereign debt restructurings. In this paper I explore … residence-based breaches by studying patterns of discrimination between residents and foreign creditors during debt … of its domestic and its external debt. In the model, the basic trade-off facing the authorities is to default on external …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583480
IMF lending during debt crises on the sovereign's optimal maturity structure. Within the model, although IMF assistance is … from the International Monetary Fund. I first present a model of sovereign debt issuance at various maturities featuring … able to catalyse private flows, this provides incentives for government to issue larger amounts of short-term debt, making …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583481