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What is the marginal effect of an increase in the private sector debt-to-GDP ratio on the probability of a banking crisis? This paper shows that the marginal effect of rising debt levels depends on an economy's external position. When the current account is in surplus or in balance, the marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010772610
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387423
inscribed in Regulation Q on the transmission of federal funds rate changes to bank level credit growth using a historic bank … ceiling. Interaction terms with monetary policy suggest that the policy impact on bank level credit growth was non-linear at … deregulation and thus weakened the credit channel of monetary transmission since the early 1980s. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027116
macrofundamentals. In fact, estimates from identified monetary policy changes lead to a reversal of U.S. states’ ranking by credit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010772615
In this paper we explore the role of financial intermediation malfunction in macroeconomic fluctuations in Japan. To this end we estimate, using Japanese data, a financial accelerator model in which the balance sheet conditions of entrepreneurs in a goods-producing sector and those of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011160714
This paper provides a set of stylized facts on the mechanisms through which banking and sovereign distress feed into each other, using a large sample of emerging economies over three decades. We first define “twin crises” as events where banking crises and sovereign defaults combine, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084959
This essay argues that the Achilles heel of the international monetary and financial system is that it amplifies the “excess financial elasticity” of domestic policy regimes, ie it exacerbates their inability to prevent the build-up of financial imbalances, or outsize financial cycles, that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114878
In analysing the performance of the international monetary and financial system (IMFS), too much attention has been paid to the current account and far too little to the capital account. This is true of both formal analytical models and historical narratives. This approach may be reasonable when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114883
credit sources—such as Basel I in 1990 and reregulation in 2010. In the short-run, the shadow share rose when deposit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027115
Do immigrants have a higher demand for large denominated banknotes than natives? This study examines whether cash orders for CHF 1000 notes, a banknote not used for daily transactions, is concentrated in Swiss cities with a high foreign-to-native ratio. Controlling for a range of socio-economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008611006