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The central variable of theories of financial frictions--the external finance premium--is unobservable. This paper distils the external finance premium from a DSGE model estimated on U.S. macroeconomic data. Within the DSGE framework, movements in the premium can be given an interpretation in...
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Almost 80 percent of capital goods production in the world is concentrated in 10 countries. Poor countries import most … of their capital goods. We argue that international trade in capital goods has quantitatively important effects on … economic development through two channels: (i) capital formation and (ii) aggregate TFP. We embed a multi country, multi sector …
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resulting excessive “capital shallowing” could be identified as a weakness of the rapid economic growth of the 1990s that may …
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We explore the impact of vertical specialization—trade in goods across multiple stages of production—on the relationship between trade and international business cycle synchronization. We develop a model in which the degree of vertical specialization is endogenously determined by comparative...
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Key macroeconomic variables such as GDP and investment typically display a V-shaped pattern during major emerging market crises. A notable exception to that pattern is intermediated credit, which follows an L-shaped trajectory instead: it declines at first in lockstep with economic activity, but...
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