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This paper documents a strong negative correlation between macroeconomic uncertainty and real GDP growth since the … between macroeconomic uncertainty and real GDP growth. To test that theory, we use a model where the ZLB occasionally binds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027118
whatever form, excessive uncertainty is the enemy of economic growth. As Ben Bernanke wrote in 1980, the 'resolution of … uncertainty' can lead to '[a business] investment boom.' It follows, then, that if and as regulators and legislators provide more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010723051
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Studies that estimate the Phillips curve for the U.S. use mainly national-level data and find mixed evidence of nonlinearity, with some recent studies either rejecting nonlinearity or estimating only modest convexity. In addition, most studies do not make a distinction between the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942918
Greater openness has become an almost universal feature of modern, developed economies. This paper develops a workhorse international model, and explores the role of standard monetary policy rules applied to an open economy. For this purpose, I build a two-country DSGE model with monopolistic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005367953
This paper analyses the impact of the shift away from a U.S. dollar focus of systemically important emerging market economies (EMEs) on configurations between the U.S. dollar, the euro and the yen. Given the difficulty that fixed or managed U.S. dollar exchange rate regimes remain pervasive and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005367955
This paper estimates monthly pass-through ratios from import prices to consumer prices in real time. Conventional time series methods impose restrictions to generate exogenous shocks on exchange rates or import prices when estimating pass-through coefficients. Instead, a natural experiment based...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005367960