Showing 1 - 10 of 125
Large swings in capital flows into and out of emerging markets can potentially lead to excessive volatility in asset …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010752596
variable estimation proposed by Caner and Hansen (2004). Rather than concluding that the size or the sign of (previous …, productivity volatility, oil prices, the real exchange rate, and the real interest rate. Productivity has become a more important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084968
This paper traces the evolution of the Federal Reserve and its engagement with the global economy over the last three decades of the 20th century: 1970 to 2000. The paper examines the Federal Reserve’s role in international economic and financial policy and analysis covering four areas: the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114882
I study optimal interest rate policy in a small open economy with consumer search in the product market. When there are search frictions, firms price-to-market, with implications for the design of monetary policy. Country-specific shocks generate deviations from the law of one price for traded...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011084958
What is the marginal effect of an increase in the private sector debt-to-GDP ratio on the probability of a banking crisis? This paper shows that the marginal effect of rising debt levels depends on an economy's external position. When the current account is in surplus or in balance, the marginal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010772610
I document a strong negative correlation, both across and within countries, between housing and current account dynamics. I use two methodologies to analyze three potential drivers of housing markets. First, in a quantitative two-country model, I input the dynamics of population, loan-to-value...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011160713
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000626594
This paper studies the e ffects of oil producing countries' fuel subsidies on the oil market and the world economy. We identify 24 oil producing countries with fuel subsidies where retail fuel prices are about 34 percent of the world price. We construct a two-country model where one country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942919
This paper assesses the transmission of monetary policy in a large Bayesian vector autoregression based on the approach proposed by Banbura, Giannone and Reichlin (2010). The paper analyzes the impact of monetary policy shocks in the United States and Canada not only on a range of domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010772609
, then long-run risk generates insufficient exchange rate volatility. A long-run risk model with recursive-preferences can … generate realistic exchange rate volatility, if all agents efficiently share their consumption risk by trading in complete … volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114881