A number of central banks use (published or unpublished) forecasts of goal variables as key ingredients in their decisions for instrument settings. This use of forecasts is modelled as a particular form of objective with the minimization of which the central bank is charged. We use an estimated...

In inflation targeting (IT) regimes, the Monetary Authority announces an explicit objective, the target for inflation. However, other objectives that possibly conflict with the inflation goal are present, such as keeping output close to its potential level and the stability of financial markets....

It is tempting to interpret empirical evidence in a number of recent studies as suggesting that term structure spreads help predict future inflation over moderate horizons of 3 to 5 years. This paper argues that common measures of the predictive power of the term structure spread for future...

Foreword / Esther L. George -- Introduction / Jonathan L. Willis -- The moderators - James Poterba, Erica L. Groshen -- Customer markets and financial frictions: implications for inflation dynamics / Simon Gilchrist, Egon Zakrajšek -- Commentary / Peter J. Klenow -- The international price...