We analyze economies with indivisible commodities. There are two reasons for doing so. First, we extend and provide new insights into sunspot equilibrium theory. Finite competitive economies with perfect markets and convex consumption sets do not allow sunspot equilibria; these same economies...

We propose and evaluate an explicit test of the null hypothesis of no difference in the accuracy of two competing forecasts. In contrast to previously developed tests, a wide variety of accuracy measures can be used (in particular, the loss function need not be quadratic, and need not even be...

The state vector in the innovation representation is asymptotically the most efficient instrumental variable estimator for the observation matrix C. The paper compares small sample properties of IV estimators for C, the dynamic matrix A and other matrices with the system theoretic estimators...

This paper is a comment on P.C.B. Phillips, “To criticise the critics: an objective Bayesian analysis of stochastic trends” [Phillips (1990)]. Departing from the likelihood of an univariate autoregressive model different routes that lead to a posterior odds analysis of the unit root...

The common approach to evaluating a model in the structural VAR literature is to compare the impulse responses from structural VARs run on the data to the theoretical impulse responses from the model. The Sims-Cogley-Nason approach instead compares the structural VARs run on the data to...