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has not been a good predictor of whether the unemployment rate at the end of the expansion following a shift was higher or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890134
Remarks at the Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884922
Maternal mortality was the second-leading cause of death for women in childbearing years up until the mid-1930s in the United States. For each death, twenty times as many mothers were estimated to suffer pregnancy-related conditions, often leading to severe and prolonged disablement. Poor...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011211967
Young Americans’ residence choices have changed markedly over the past fifteen years, with recent cohorts entering the housing market at lower rates, and lingering much longer in parents’ households. This paper begins with descriptive evidence on the residence choices of 1 percent of young...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011082708
We create a novel measure of job search effort starting in 1994 by exploiting the overlap between the Current Population Survey and the American Time Use Survey. We examine the cyclical behavior of aggregate job search effort using time series and cross-state variation and find that it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890133
We study the evolution of individual labor earnings over the life cycle, using a large panel data set of earnings histories drawn from U.S. administrative records. Using fully nonparametric methods, our analysis reaches two broad conclusions. First, earnings shocks display substantial deviations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011160729
-run concept like the natural rate of unemployment. We examine what effect uncertainty has on the use of NAIRU in policy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717255
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387249
There is wide agreement that the dynamics of inflation and unemployment are influenced by supply and demand shocks … approach to decompose movements in U.S. postwar unemployment and inflation into three orthogonal components. These components … observable variables in sensible ways, and they are used to analyze and interpret inflation-unemployment tradeoffs and postwar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387351
This paper examines the causes of the observed increase in the average duration of unemployment over the past thirty … in the generosity and coverage of unemployment insurance. We find that changes in the composition of the labor force and … institutional changes can only partially account for the longer duration of unemployment. We construct a job search model and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420515