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This paper explores liquidity movements in stock and Treasury bond markets over a period of more than 1800 trading days …. Cross-market dynamics in liquidity are documented by estimating a vector autoregressive model for liquidity (that is, bid … in one market affects the spreads in both markets, and that return volatility is an important driver of liquidity …
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more highly correlated; moreover, at these times, money supply positively affects financial market liquidity, albeit with a … lag of two weeks. During normal times, increases in mutual fund flows enhance stock market liquidity and trading volume …, but during financial crises, U.S. government bond funds see higher inflows, resulting in increased bond market liquidity …
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"We conduct a systematic comparison of confidence intervals around estimated probabilities of default (PD), using several analytical approaches from large-sample theory and bootstrapped small-sample confidence intervals. We do so for two different PD estimation methods--cohort and duration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521762
We examine the implications of time variation in the correlation between the equity premium and nondurable consumption growth for equity return dynamics in G-7 countries. Using a VAR-GARCH (1,1) model, we find that the correlation increases with recession indicators such as above-average...
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