stability of the U.S. economy. Bayesian methods are used to estimate a common factor model that allows for structural breaks in …

The goal of integrated risk management in a financial institution is to measure and manage risk and capital across a … range of diverse business activities. This requires an approach for aggregating risk types (market, credit, and operational …) whose distributional shapes vary considerably. In this paper, we use the method of copulas to construct the joint risk …

We define CoVaR as the value at risk (VaR) of financial institutions conditional on other institutions being in … distress. The increase of CoVaR relative to VaR measures spillover risk among institutions. We estimate CoVaR using quantile … regressions and document significant CoVaR increases among financial institutions. We identify six risk factors that allow …

This paper examines how risk in trading activity can affect the volatility of asset prices. We look for this … swap spread tends to converge to a long-run level, although trading risk can sometimes cause the spread to diverge from … that level. -- convergence trading ; interest rate swaps ; swap spread ; repurchase contracts ; trading risk ; volatility …