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We examine the implications of time variation in the correlation between the equity premium and nondurable consumption … robustness checks such as allowing the mean return to depend on its conditional variance and controlling for lower consumption … variation in the consumption correlation and the equity premium. …
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identify variables other than productivity - namely consumption and labor compensation - to help estimate trend productivity …
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This paper examines how the scale and composition of public debt can affect economies that implement a combination of “passive” monetary policy and “active” fiscal policy. This policy configuration is argued to be of both historical and contemporary interest in the cases of the U.S. and...
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Remarks at the Japan Society, New York City.
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