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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001590070
with recession indicators such as above-average unemployment growth and with proxies for stock market wealth. The combined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002101478
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001783080
The acceleration of productivity since 1995 has prompted a debate over whether the economy's underlying growth rate will remain high. In this paper, we propose a methodology for estimating trend growth that draws on growth theory to identify variables other than productivity - namely consumption...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001751984
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001590071
We use a recent policy experiment in Rio de Janeiro, the installation of permanent police stations in low-income communities (or favelas), to quantify the relationship between a reduction in crime and the change in the prices of nearby residential real estate. Using a novel data set of detailed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551294
wealth. Our event study from a sample of 38l firms that adopted 486 antitakeover provisions in the 1984-1988 period indicates … a strongly negative effect on stockholder wealth, supporting the management entrenchment view of antitakeover provisions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717207
between aggregate consumer spending and changes in aggregate household wealth. While stock market gains have surely provided …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005717211
This paper studies the role of detrended wealth in predicting stock returns. We call a transitory movement in wealth … data, we find that these trend deviations in wealth are strong predictors of both real stock returns and excess returns … forecasting variables. ; Why should wealth, detrended in this way, forecast asset returns? We show that a wide class of optimal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420595
In their influential work on the consumption-wealth relationship, Lettau and Ludvigson found that while consumption … responds to permanent changes in wealth in the expected manner, most changes in wealth are transitory with no effect on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005420623