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This paper examines the linkage between economic activity and tax revenues for New York State and New York City. Drawing upon the methodology of Stock and Watson, we use a dynamic single-factor model to estimate indexes of coincident economic indicators. We also construct measures of the sales...
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"This paper develops a new approach to change-point modeling that allows for an unknown number of change points in the observed sample. Our model assumes that regime durations have a Poisson distribution. The model approximately nests the two most common approaches: the time-varying parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521761
This paper examines how risk in trading activity can affect the volatility of asset prices. We look for this … swap spread tends to converge to a long-run level, although trading risk can sometimes cause the spread to diverge from … that level. -- convergence trading ; interest rate swaps ; swap spread ; repurchase contracts ; trading risk ; volatility …
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