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Job search behavior over the business cycle
Mukoyama, Toshihiko; Sahin, Aysegul; Patterson, Christina - Federal Reserve Bank of New York - 2014
We create a novel measure of job search effort starting in 1994 by exploiting the overlap between the Current Population Survey and the American Time Use Survey. We examine the cyclical behavior of aggregate job search effort using time series and cross-state variation and find that it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890133
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Grown-up business cycles
Pugsley, Benjamin Wild; Sahin, Aysegul - Federal Reserve Bank of New York - 2014
We document two striking facts about U.S. firm dynamics and interpret their significance for aggregate employment dynamics. The first observation is the steady decline in the firm entry rate over the last thirty years, and the second is the gradual shift of employment from younger to older firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011114928
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Shifts in the Beveridge curve
Diamond, Peter A.; Sahin, Aysegul - Federal Reserve Bank of New York - 2014
has not been a good predictor of whether the unemployment rate at the end of the expansion following a shift was higher or …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010890134
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Modeling uncertainty : predictive accuracy as a proxy for predictive confidence
Rich, Robert W. (contributor); Tracy, Joseph S. (contributor) - 2003 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001751995
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Idiosyncratic risk and volatility bounds, or can models with idiosyncratic risk solve the equity premium puzzle?
Lettau, Martin (contributor) - 2001 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001590071
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What do data on millions of U.S. workers reveal about life-cycle earnings risk?
Guvenen, Fatih; Karahan, Fatih; Ozkan, Serdar; Song, Jae - Federal Reserve Bank of New York - 2015
We study the evolution of individual labor earnings over the life cycle, using a large panel data set of earnings histories drawn from U.S. administrative records. Using fully nonparametric methods, our analysis reaches two broad conclusions. First, earnings shocks display substantial deviations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011160729
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Debt, jobs, or housing: what's keeping millennials at home?
Brown, Meta; Lee, Donghoon; van der Klaauw, Wilbert H; … - Federal Reserve Bank of New York - 2014
Young Americans’ residence choices have changed markedly over the past fifteen years, with recent cohorts entering the housing market at lower rates, and lingering much longer in parents’ households. This paper begins with descriptive evidence on the residence choices of 1 percent of young...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011082708
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Why did the average duration of unemployment become so much longer?
Mukoyama, Toshihiko (contributor);  … - 2004 - [Elektronische Ressource]
"This paper examines the causes of the observed increase in the average duration of unemployment over the past thirty … in the generosity and coverage of unemployment insurance. We find that changes in the composition of the labor force and … institutional changes can only partially account for the longer duration of unemployment. We construct a job search model and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002521759
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Markov switching in disaggregate unemployment rates
Chauvet, Marcelle (contributor); Juhn, Chinhui (contributor) - 2001 - [Elektronische Ressource]
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001590063
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The national and regional economic outlook
Dudley, William C. - Federal Reserve Bank of New York - 2011
Remarks at the University at Albany, Albany, New York.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010724965