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Does the presence of arbitrageurs decrease equilibrium asset price volatility? I study an economy with arbitrageurs … effect). In equilibrium, the presence of arbitrageurs increases volatility when the inference effect dominates the arbitrage …
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the dynamics of a wide range of macroeconomic variables. We find strong evidence that a reduction in volatility is common … to the series examined. Further, the reduction in volatility implies that future expansions will be considerably longer …
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"We conduct a systematic comparison of confidence intervals around estimated probabilities of default (PD), using several analytical approaches from large-sample theory and bootstrapped small-sample confidence intervals. We do so for two different PD estimation methods--cohort and duration...
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estimated in these series and the implied model is similar to a time-varying parameter model with stochastic volatility …
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This paper examines how risk in trading activity can affect the volatility of asset prices. We look for this … normal levels. We investigate how the risks in convergence trading can affect price volatility in a form of positive feedback … that level. -- convergence trading ; interest rate swaps ; swap spread ; repurchase contracts ; trading risk ; volatility …
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