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A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation

Owyang, Michael T.; Piger, Jeremy M.; Wall, Howard J. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

the origin of the aggregate volatility reduction. We show that states with relatively high concentrations in the durable-goods …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360567

International evidence on the stability of the optimizing IS equation

Kara, Amit; Nelson, Edward - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2004

In this paper we provide international evidence on the issue of whether the optimizing IS equation is more stable than a backward-looking alternative. The international evidence consist of estimates of IS equations on quarterly data for the UK and Australia, both for the full sample of the last...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707758

Do productivity growth, budget deficits, and monetary policy actions affect real interest rates? evidence from macroeconomic announcement data

Kliesen, Kevin L.; Schmid, Frank A. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2004

responds positively to surprises in labor productivity growth. However, we do not reject the hypothesis that the real long …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352806

Inflation and economic activity in a multiple matching model of money

Laing, Derek; Li, Victor E.; Wang, Ping - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 1998

-theoretic environment with divisible money and goods. We find that in such a setting, a positive feedback between work and shopping effort …This paper investigates the relationship between money growth, inflation, and productive activity in a general … equilibrium model where search frictions motivate the transactions role of money. The use of a multiple matching technique, where …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360588

Money and the natural rate of interest: structural estimates for the United States and the Euro area

Andrés, Javier; López-Salido, J. David; Nelson, Edward - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

We examine the role of money, allowing for three competing environments: the New Keynesian model with separable utility … and static money demand; a non-separable utility variant with habit formation; and a version with adjustment costs for … holding real balances. The last two variants imply forward-looking behavior of real money balances, as it is optimal for …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352963

The efficient market hypothesis and identification in structural VARs

Sarno, Lucio; Thornton, Daniel L. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2003

Structural vector autoregression (SVAR) models are commonly used to investigate the effect of structural shocks on economic variables. The identifying restrictions imposed in many of these exercises have been criticized in the literature. This paper extends this literature by showing that if the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360546

Kalman filtering with truncated normal state variables for Bayesian estimation of macroeconomic models

Dueker, Michael - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2006

A pair of simple modifications-in the forecast error and forecast error variance-to the Kalman filter recursions makes possible the filtering of models in which one or more state variables is truncated normal and latent. Such recursions are broadly applicable to macroeconometric models, such as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707653

An approximate dual-self model and paradoxes of choice under risk

Fudenberg, Drew; Levine, David K.; Maniadis, Zacharias - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2012

We derive a simplified version of the model of Fudenberg and Levine [2006, 2011] and show how this approximate model is useful in explaining choice under risk. We show that in the simple case of three outcomes, the model can generate indifference curves that “fan out” in the Marshack-Machina...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027334

On the response of interest rates to unexpected weekly money: are policy changes important?

Sheehan, Richard G.; Hafer, R.W. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 1987

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360574

Monetary policy and the determination of the interest rate and exchange rate in a small open economy with increasing capital mobility

Ahn, Byung Chan - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 1994

Singapore. The emperical results show that in the Korean case changes in money supply affect the interest rate, but do not … rate and the expected change in the exchange rate, as well as by changes in the money supply; changes in the money supply …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360575