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market outcomes than job switchers. Over 40% of all workers separating into unemployment regain employment at their previous … temporary layoff. Recalls are associated with much shorter unemployment duration and better wage changes. Negative duration … dependence of unemployment nearly disappears once recalls are excluded. We also find that the probability of finding a new job is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732483
The Phillips curve has long been used as a foundation for forecasting inflation. Yet numerous studies indicate that over the past 20 years or so, inflation forecasts based on the Phillips curve generally do not predict inflation any better than a univariate forecasting model. In this paper, the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320692
separation rate, whether exogenous or endogenous, greatly increases the unemployment variability generated by the model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009421573
-market policy instruments, namely, a vacancy subsidy, a layoff tax and unemployment benefits. The authors derive analytical … that hiring subsidies, layoff taxes and the replacement rate of unemployment insurance should all rise in recessions. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009366950
Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia> The Philadelphia Chapter of the Risk Management Association, Philadelphia, PA, January 11, 2011
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727091
Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, New Jersey Bankers Association, May 12, 2011, Aventura, Florida
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727136
Economic Prospects and Monetary Policy for the New Year> 33rd Annual Economic Seminar, January 11, 2012, Rochester, New York
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727157
-section/time-series models of the effects of unemployment on alternative poverty indexes. The indexes include the official headcount rate and …, the declines in unemployment of the last decade had no significant impact on poverty. The findings thus provide important …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387483
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387498
business cycle features of job flows, worker flows between employment and unemployment, and job-to-job transitions. The … calibrated model successfully replicates (i) countercyclical worker flows between employment and unemployment, (ii) procyclical … cyclical properties of worker flows between employment and unemployment differ from those of job flows, partly because of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010633801