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We ask two questions related to how access to credit affects the nature of business cycles. First, does the standard theory of unsecured credit account for the high volatility and procyclicality of credit and the high volatility and countercyclicality of bankruptcy filings found in U.S. data?...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010941009
We use a structural dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model to investigate how initial data releases of key macroeconomic aggregates are related to final revised versions and how identified aggregate shocks influence data revisions. The analysis sheds light on how well preliminary data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930293
evidence that inventories amplify aggregate fluctuations. However, the authors' model economy exhibits a business cycle similar … to that of a comparable benchmark without inventories. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005512272
We search for useful models of aggregate fluctuations with inventories. We focus exclusively on dynamic stochastic … performance gauged by its ability to explain the observed magnitude of inventories in the U.S. economy, alongside other empirical …,s) model is far more consistent with the behavior of aggregate inventories in the postwar U.S. when aggregate fluctuations …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005512352
that inventories amplify aggregate fluctuations. In contrast, our model economy exhibits a business cycle similar to that … of a comparable benchmark without inventories, though we do observe somewhat higher variability in employment, and lower … understanding of the role of inventory accumulation for cyclical movements in GDP. The presence of inventories does not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005387499
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005389668
infrequently and hold substantially larger inventories of imported goods than domestic goods. Using multiple sources of data, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005389731
have existing inventories of assets similar to those being traded. We show that these inventories may lead to prices that … prevent a competitor from purchasing at a lower price and releasing bad news about inventory values. Inventories also prevent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010739560
inventories of assets similar to those being traded. We analyze how these inventories affect trade, information dissemination, and … prices. We show that when traders’ initial leverages are moderate, inventories increase price and trade volume (a market “run …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027309
This paper examines the role of inventories in the decline of production, trade, and expenditures in the US in the … trade, relative to a more standard model without inventories. The magnitudes of production, trade, and inventory responses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498243