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Two often-divergent U.S. GDP estimates are available, a widely-used expenditure-side version GDPE, and a much less widely-used income-side version GDI . The authors propose and explore a "forecast combination" approach to combining them. They then put the theory to work, producing a superior...
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We provide a new and superior measure of U.S. GDP, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the (noisy) expenditure-side and income-side estimates. Its properties -- particularly as regards serial correlation -- differ markedly from those of the standard expenditure-side...
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environment. The author characterizes the long-run distribution of capital and shows that output increases on average with …
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model institutional quality as the degree to which obligations associated with exchanging capital can be enforced …. Establishing a positive level of enforcement requires an aggregate investment of capital that is no longer available for production …. When capital endowments are more unequally distributed, the bigger dispersion in marginal products makes it optimal to …
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