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The authors study the effects of changes in uncertainty about future fiscal policy on aggregate economic activity. Fiscal deficits and public debt have risen sharply in the wake of the financial crisis. While these developments make fiscal consolidation inevitable, there is considerable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009216227
The authors analyze the effects of government spending cuts on economic activity in an environment of severe fiscal strain, as reflected by a sizeable risk premium on government debt. Specifically, they consider a "sovereign risk channel," through which sovereign default risk spills over to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009320690
Presented at the Inaugural meeting of the Global Society of Fellows of the Global Interdependence Center, Banque de France, Paris, France, March 26, 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727088
Presented at the U.S. Monetary Policy Forum, The Initiative on Global Markets University of Chicago Booth School of Business, New York, New York, February 24, 2012
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727106
Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, SNS (Center for Business and Policy Studies) and SIFR (The Institute for Financial Research), Stockholm, Sweden
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727158
lower bound (ZLB) on nominal interest rates. In addition to the standard targeted-inflation equilibrium, we consider a … deflation equilibrium as well as a Markov sunspot equilibrium that switches between a targeted-inflation and a deflation regime … assumptions that the U.S. economy has been in either the targeted-inflation or the sunspot equilibrium. We consider a combination …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010681653
spending if inflation rises initially. This response drives down private demand even though short-term real rates fall. As this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008852842
Presented by Charles I. Plosser, President and Chief Executive Officer, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, Global Interdependence Center's Central Banking Series: Recovery 2013 — Strength or Stagnation?, Milan, Italy, May 16, 2013 ; Note: President Plosser presented similar remarks on May...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011026977
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