Showing 1 - 10 of 34
We conduct an accounting exercise of the role of worker flows between unemployment, employment, and labor force … nonparticipation in the dynamics of the aggregate unemployment rate across four recent recessions: 1982-1983, 1990-1991, 2001, and 2007 … employment and unemployment to account for the dynamics of the unemployment rate, this was not true in the Great Recession. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010723109
Shimer (2012) accounts for the volatility of unemployment based on a model of homogeneous unemployment. Using data on … short-term unemployment he finds that most of unemployment volatility is accounted for by variations in the exit rate from … unemployment. The assumption of homogeneous exit rates is inconsistent with the observed negative duration dependence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010593679
based on the behavior of individual wages and turnover. I find that a one percentage point increase in unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008764357
Many cases of successful economic development, such as South Korea, exhibit long periods of sustained capital accumulation rates. This empirical feature is at odds with the standard neoclassical growth model which predicts initially high and then declining capital accumulation rates. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321094
We find the optimal target values for fiscal rules and measure their aggregate effects using a model of sovereign default. We calibrate the model to an economy that pays a significant sovereign default premium when the government is not constrained by fiscal rules. For different levels of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010551313
We use novel high-frequency panel data on individuals' job applications from an online job posting engine to study (1) whether at the beginning of search job seekers with different levels of education (skill) apply to different jobs, and (2) how search behavior changes as search continues....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010723108
We use Bayesian time-varying parameters structural VARs with stochastic volatility to investigate changes in both the reduced-form and the structural correlations between business inventories and either sales growth or the real interest rate in the United States during both the interwar and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010723110
Beginning in the mid-1980s, the nature of U.S. business cycles changed in important ways, as made evident by distinctive shifts in the comovement and relative volatilities of key economic aggregates. These include labor productivity, hours, output, and inventories. Unlike the widely documented...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010758361
the textbook search and matching model cannot simultaneously generate the empirical elasticities of the vacancy-unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008627170
We measure the effects of debt dilution on sovereign default risk and show how these effects can be mitigated with debt contracts promising borrowing-contingent payments. First, we calibrate a baseline model à la Eaton and Gersovitz (1981) to match features of the data. In this model, bonds'...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008498240