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Presentation to Portland community leaders, Portland, Oregon, September 4, 2013
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Presentation to Financial Executives International, San Francisco, CA, April 15, 2010
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Remarks at the Chattanooga Area Chamber of Commerce, Chattanooga, Tennessee, August 26, 2009
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-level federal ARRA spending and state employment outcomes from the time the Act was passed (February 2009) through the latest month … employment growth. The results point to substantial heterogeneity in the impact of ARRA spending over time, across sectors, and … across types of spending. The estimated jobs multiplier for total nonfarm employment is large and statistically significant …
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. We find no evidence suggesting that the law reduced employment probabilities. …
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distinguish the goods and the employment compensation components of government consumption in assessing the effects of fiscal … particular, the model with government employment does a good job at accounting for the dynamic response of private consumption to … a fiscal policy shock. Government employment compensation acts as a transfer payment for households, thereby mitigating …
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