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We present a model with heterogeneous firms, in which credit constraints may give rise to self-fulfilling, sunspot … constrained by expected equity value. Interactions between debt and equity value made possible by credit constraints generate a … credit externality, which leads to procyclical total factor productivity (TFP) and, with sufficiently high cost of financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008676438
One reason why countries service their external debts is the fear that default might lead to shrinkage of international trade. If so, then creditors should systematically lend more to countries with which they share closer trade links. We develop a simple theoretical model to capture this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010702196
This paper provides a historical overview on financial crises and their origins. The objective is to discuss a few of the modern statistical methods that can be used to evaluate predictors of these rare events. The problem involves prediction of binary events and therefore fits modern...
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Previous studies on financial frictions have been unable to establish the empirical significance of credit constraints … in macroeconomic fluctuations. This paper argues that the muted impact of credit constraints stems from the absence of a … and we allow productive agents to be credit-constrained. A combination of these two features enables our model to …
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We develop a two-sector search-matching model of the labor market with imperfect mobility of workers, augmented to incorporate a housing market and a frictional goods market. Homeowners use home equity as collateral to finance idiosyncratic consumption opportunities. A financial innovation that...
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