This paper advances the hypothesis that the transition from there-is-little-central-banks-can-do-to-control-inflation … to inflation targeting occurred because central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, demonstrated that central banks … can control inflation rather than a consequence of marked improvement in the professions understanding of how monetary …

Various inflation forecasting models are compared using a simulated out-of-sample forecasting framework. We focus on … the question of whether monetary aggregates are useful for forecasting inflation, but unlike previous work we examine a … theory, but only when the cointegrating relations are specified a priori based on economic theory. When estimated …

average inflation rate in an international cross-section. We find that inflationary regimes in certain countries are duration …

examine the inflation-output variability tradeoffs implied by optimal inflation and price level rules. In previous work with … the Neoclassical Phillips Curve, we found that the choice between inflation targeting and price level targeting depended … did not enter the aggregate supply function, then inflation targets were preferred to price level targets. When we start …