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This paper advances the hypothesis that the transition from there-is-little-central-banks-can-do-to-control-inflation … to inflation targeting occurred because central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, demonstrated that central banks … can control inflation rather than a consequence of marked improvement in the professions understanding of how monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077875
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"A major criticism of standard specifications of price adjustment in models for monetary policy analysis is that they violate the natural rate hypothesis by allowing output to differ from potential in steady state. In this paper we estimate a dynamic optimizing business cycle model whose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002934315
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incorporate some “rule-of-thumb†price-setters that index to inflation over recent periods. These models are estimated for the … inertia in inflation than the baseline sticky-price model, its overall fit is worse. The results point toward substantial … gains in terms of fit for hybrid models with indexation that smoothes through quarterly volatility in inflation and clarify …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005343038
average inflation rate in an international cross-section. We find that inflationary regimes in certain countries are duration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360589
monetary policy in particular. The form in current widespread use includes both forward looking expected inflation and lagged … inflation. The presence of lagged inflation is necessary to generate predicted inflation persistence to match actual persistence … convincingly predict inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005342993
examine the inflation-output variability tradeoffs implied by optimal inflation and price level rules. In previous work with … the Neoclassical Phillips Curve, we found that the choice between inflation targeting and price level targeting depended … did not enter the aggregate supply function, then inflation targets were preferred to price level targets. When we start …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005353008
The Phillips curve framework, which includes the output gap and natural rate hypothesis, plays a central role in the canonical macroeconomic model used in analyses of monetary policy. It is now well understood that real-time data must be used to evaluate historical monetary policy. We believe...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008465671