Showing 1 - 10 of 14
This paper advances the hypothesis that the transition from there-is-little-central-banks-can-do-to-control-inflation … to inflation targeting occurred because central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, demonstrated that central banks … can control inflation rather than a consequence of marked improvement in the professions understanding of how monetary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005077875
This paper analyses the role of inflation expectations in the euro area. On one hand, the question is how inflation … expectations affect both inflation and output, and, on the other hand, how inflation expectations reflect developments in these … variables. The analyses make use of a simple VAR model of inflation, inflation expectations and the output gap that allows for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648940
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001982872
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001974266
"A major criticism of standard specifications of price adjustment in models for monetary policy analysis is that they violate the natural rate hypothesis by allowing output to differ from potential in steady state. In this paper we estimate a dynamic optimizing business cycle model whose...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002934315
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001986445
This paper analyzes euro area and U.S. inflation dynamics since the beginning of the 1990s by estimating New Keynesian … hybrid Phillips curves with time-varying parameters. We measure inflation expectations by subjective forecasts from Consensus … results indicate that in both economic areas the inflation dynamics have steadily become more forward-looking over time. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818992
This paper examines recent changes in the cyclicality of euro area inflation. We estimate time-varying parameters for … become steeper since 2012. Thus, the current low level of inflation and persistently negative output gap increase the risk … that euro area inflation will stay below the monetary policy target for an extended period. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011099548
average inflation rate in an international cross-section. We find that inflationary regimes in certain countries are duration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360589
examine the inflation-output variability tradeoffs implied by optimal inflation and price level rules. In previous work with … the Neoclassical Phillips Curve, we found that the choice between inflation targeting and price level targeting depended … did not enter the aggregate supply function, then inflation targets were preferred to price level targets. When we start …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005353008