This paper advances the hypothesis that the transition from there-is-little-central-banks-can-do-to-control-inflation … to inflation targeting occurred because central banks, especially the Federal Reserve, demonstrated that central banks … can control inflation rather than a consequence of marked improvement in the professions understanding of how monetary …

We develop a theoretical model that features a business cycle-dependent relation between out- put, price inflation and … inflation expectations, augmenting the model by Svensson (1997) with a nonlinear Phillips curve that reflects the rationale … underlying the capacity constraint theory (Macklem (1997)). The theoretical model motivates our empirical assessment for the euro …

, subsequently, we didn't see the inflation they predicted. We show that these puzzles disappear in a Vector Autoregressive model … much of the inflation dynamics in the 2012-2014 euro area missing inflation episode. Consequently, economists and models … that excessively focused on the global nature of inflation were liable to miss the contribution of deflationary domestic …

The response of US inflation to the high levels of spare capacity during the Great Recession of 2007-09 was rather … inflation, and either the closing of this gap or non-linearities in the Phillips curve could lead to a sudden pick-up in … inflation. We revisit these issues by estimating Phillips curves over 1992Q1 to 2015Q1. Our main findings suggest that a …