Showing 1 - 10 of 16
The evolution of the rate of price inflation, (t), and unemployment, u(t), in Japan has been modeled within the … well as the whole deflationary period started in the late 1990s. The Phillips curve for Japan confirms the original concept … that growing unemployment results in decreasing inflation. A linear and lagged generalized Phillips curve expressed as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011260989
Past and future evolution of inflation, p(t), and unemployment, UE(t), in Japan is modeled. Both variables are … linear and lagged generalized relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force has been also obtained for Japan … unemployment in Japan: CPI inflation will be negative (between -0.5% and -1% per year) during the next 40 years. Unemployment will …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260050
numerically equal to two thirds of the relative change in the number of eighteen-year-olds. Inflation is represented by a linear … function of labor force change rate. The models provide an accurate description for the poor economic performance and deflation … deflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005623454
developed an integral technique similar to CUSUM using an empirical model quantitatively linking the rate of inflation and … uncorrelated noise and systematic errors. Our previous model of inflation and unemployment in Canada is enhanced by the … introduction of inflation targeting as a new monetary policy in 1991 resulted in a structural break manifested in a lowered rate of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008927057
and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and … estimated with eight new readings obtained since 2004. The rate of CPI inflation is predicted with RMSFE=1.5% per year. For the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109998
We model the rate of inflation and unemployment in Austria since the early 1960s within the Phillips/Fisher framework … macroeconomic variable was first tested as a predictor of inflation and unemployment in 2005 with the involved time series ended in … relationships between inflation, unemployment, and labour force. As before, a structural break is allowed in these relationships …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110150
, price inflation, labor force participation, productivity, and unemployment. The evolution of real GDP depends only on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005260315
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, π(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … in previous study holds together with statistical estimates of goodness-of-fit and RMSFE. Relationships between inflation … relationships between the studied variables demonstrates the superiority of the latter. The cumulative inflation curve or inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835964
Previously, a linear and lagged relationship between inflation and labor force change rate, π(t)= A1dLF(t-t1)/LF(t-t1 … (RMFSE) of 0.8% at a two-year horizon for the period between 1965 and 2002 (the best among other inflation forecasting models … relation between macroeconomic and population variables, to a practical one - an accurate out-of-sample inflation forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005836346
Austria, Italy, the Netherlands, Sweden, Switzerland, and the United States as a function of inflation and the change in labor … force. Originally, the model linking unemployment to inflation and labor force was developed and successfully tested for … Austria, Canada, France, Germany, Japan, and the United States. Autoregressive properties of neither of these variables are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005837146