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A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation

Owyang, Michael T.; Piger, Jeremy M.; Wall, Howard J. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

the origin of the aggregate volatility reduction. We show that states with relatively high concentrations in the durable-goods …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360567

Tobin's imperfect asset substitution in optimizing general equilibrium

Andres, Javier; López-Salido, J. David; Nelson, Edward - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2004

In this paper, we present a dynamic optimizing model that allows explicitly for imperfect substitutability between different financial assets. This is specified in a manner which captures Tobin's (1969) view that an expansion of one asset's supply affects both the yield on that asset and the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352930

Near-rational exuberance

Bullard, James B.; Evans, George W.; Honkapohja, Seppo - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2004

monetary policy framework. Inclusion of judgement in forecasts can lead to self-fulfilling fluctuations, but without the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707643

Macroeconometric equivalence, microeconomic dissonance, and the design of monetary policy

Levin, Andrew T.; López-Salido, J. David; Nelson, Edward; … - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2008

Many recent studies in macroeconomics have focused on the estimation of DSGE models using a system of loglinear approximations to the models' nonlinear equilibrium conditions. The term macroeconometric equivalence encapsulates the idea that estimates using aggregate data based on first-order...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490955

Money and the natural rate of interest: structural estimates for the United States and the Euro area

Andrés, Javier; López-Salido, J. David; Nelson, Edward - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

We examine the role of money, allowing for three competing environments: the New Keynesian model with separable utility … and static money demand; a non-separable utility variant with habit formation; and a version with adjustment costs for … holding real balances. The last two variants imply forward-looking behavior of real money balances, as it is optimal for …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352963

Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data

Owyang, Michael T.; Ramey, Valerie A.; Zubairy, Sarah - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2013

A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027317