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A state-level analysis of the Great Moderation

Owyang, Michael T.; Piger, Jeremy M.; Wall, Howard J. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2007

the origin of the aggregate volatility reduction. We show that states with relatively high concentrations in the durable-goods …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360567

Near-rational exuberance

Bullard, James B.; Evans, George W.; Honkapohja, Seppo - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2004

monetary policy framework. Inclusion of judgement in forecasts can lead to self-fulfilling fluctuations, but without the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707643

Do productivity growth, budget deficits, and monetary policy actions affect real interest rates? evidence from macroeconomic announcement data

Kliesen, Kevin L.; Schmid, Frank A. - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2004

responds positively to surprises in labor productivity growth. However, we do not reject the hypothesis that the real long …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352806

Are government spending multipliers greater during periods of slack? evidence from 20th century historical data

Owyang, Michael T.; Ramey, Valerie A.; Zubairy, Sarah - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - 2013

A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027317

Productivity measurement and monetary policymaking during the 1990s

Anderson, Richard G. (contributor); … - 2005

"The acceleration of productivity growth during the latter half of the 1990s was both the defining economic event of the decade and a major topic of debate among Federal Reserve policymakers. A key aspect of the debate was the conflict between incoming aggregate data, which initially suggested...