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"A pair of simple modifications to the Kalman filter recursions makes possible the filtering of models in which one or more state variables is truncated normal. Such recursions are broadly applicable to macroeconometric models that have one or more probit-type equation, such as vector...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003115151
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In Korea's high-growth economy, the Bank of Korea had been willing to tolerate double-digit inflation, provided that it … upper threshold of tolerable inflation for the Bank of Korea was about 20 percent. It appears that the Bank of Korea …'s disciplined, rule-like approach to monetary policy was able to control inflation and keep it away from explosive levels, despite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352822
dynamic stochastic general equilibrium framework, we examine the effects of alternative monetary policy rules on inflation … persistence, the information content of monetary data, and real variables. We show that inflation persistence and the variability … of inflation relative to money growth depends on whether the central bank follows a money growth rule or an interest rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352925
inflation risk. We calculate the term structure of inflation uncertainty in New Keynesian models when the monetary authority … achieves equilibria with substantially lower long-run inflation risk. With either sticky prices or sticky wages, a price path … target reduces the variance of inflation by an order of magnitude more than it increases the variability of the output gap. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490907
are amplified when the monetary authority responds to that shock by changing its inflation objective. Specifically, higher … inflation raises households’ nominal capital gains taxes since those taxes are not indexed to inflation. The increase in taxes … capital stock is associated with an extended period of low productivity growth and high inflation. Those real effects from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010662819
This article presents global solutions to standard New Keynesian models to show how economic dynamics change when the nominal interest rate is constrained at its zero lower bound (ZLB). We focus on the canonical New Keynesian model without capital, but we also study the model with capital, with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010628491
This paper examines the stimulative effect of central bank forward guidance—the promise to keep future policy rates lower than its policy rule suggests—when the short-term nominal interest rate is stuck at its zero lower bound (ZLB).We utilize a standard New Keynesian model in which forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027342
is more complicated becasue it depends on policy. It also depends on whether it is the inflation rate or the real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010558512