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This paper proposes a solution method to solve linear difference models with lagged expectations. Variables with lagged expectations expand the model's state space greatly when N is large; and getting the system into a canonical form solvable by the traditional methods involves substantial manual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490983
the origin of the aggregate volatility reduction. We show that states with relatively high concentrations in the durable-goods …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005360567
Recently, models of monetary policy have been constructed to include structural breaks to account for changes in policymaker preferences or operating procedures. These models typically assume that when changes occur, they happen once and for all. In this paper, we allow the policymaker and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490882
Monetary policy VARs typically presume stability of the long-run outcomes. We introduce the possibility of switches in the long-run equilibrium in a cointegrated VAR by allowing both the covariance matrix and weighting matrix in the error-correction term to switch. We find that monetary policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490901
We find that the magnitudes of the regional effects of monetary policy were considerably dampened during the Volcker-Greenspan era. Further, regional differences in the depths of monetary-policy-induced recessions are related to the concentration of the banking sector, whereas differences in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005490938
May 30, 2012. "Demographics, Redistribution, and Optimal Inflation," with Carlos Garriga and Christopher J. Waller. Presented by Christopher Waller at the 2012 BOJ-IMES Conference Demographic Changes and Macroeconomic Performance.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010727313
When monetary policies are endogenous, the conventional VAR approach for detecting the effect of monetary policies is powerless. This paper proposes to test the implication of monetary policies along a different dimension. That implication is to exploit the policy induced exogeneity of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005707746
. Specifically, we find a relationship between the volatility of capital investment, type of monetary policy rule, the responsiveness … of the rule to output and inflation fluctuations, and the response to technology shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005352815
With rare exception, studies of monetary policy tend to neglect the timing of the innovations to the monetary policy instrument. Models which do take timing seriously are often difficult to compare to standard VAR models of monetary policy because of the differences in the frequency that they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008872024
This paper uncovers Taylor rules from estimated monetary policy reactions using a structural VAR on U.S. data from 1959 to 2009. These Taylor rules reveal the dynamic nature of policy responses to different structural shocks. We find that U.S. monetary policy has been far more responsive over...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008583251