"We include learning in a standard equilibrium business cycle model with explicit growth. We use the model to study how the economy's agents could learn in real time about the important trend-changing events of the postwar era in the U.S., such as the productivity slowdown, increased labor force...

"Through their influence on the cross-sectional distribution of productivity across firms and workers, job creation and destruction likely have an impact on the rate at which aggregate productivity changes over time. However, the nature of this effect is not, a priori, clear. While a broad...

"The paper documents a new empirical result that a high level of aggregate U.S. idiosyncratic stock return volatility is usually associated with a future appreciation in U.S. dollars. The relation is highly significant for most foreign currencies. For example, idiosyncratic volatility accounts...