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"This paper studies strategic asset allocation and consumption choice in the presence of regime switching in asset returns. We find evidence that four separate regimes - characterized as crash, slow growth, bull and recovery states - are required to capture the joint distribution of stock and...
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"In the presence of infrequent but observable structural breaks, we show that a model in which the representative agent is on a rational learning path concerning the real consumption growth process can generate high equity premia and low risk-free interest rates. In fact, when the model is...
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from the loan performance database on securitized private-label pool collateral, we utilize a two-step estimation procedure … to control for the endogeneity of delinquency in an estimation of default and prepayment probabilities. We find strong … support for the "distressed prepayment" theory that very delinquent loans are more likely to prepay than to default and that …
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