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"This paper considers a variety of econometric models for the joint distribution of US stock and bond returns in the presence of regime switching dynamics. While simple two- or three-state models capture the univariate dynamics in bond and stock returns, a more complicated four state model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917580
This paper investigates the source of predictability of bond risk premia by means of long-term forward interest rates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004973908
"This paper studies strategic asset allocation and consumption choice in the presence of regime switching in asset returns. We find evidence that four separate regimes - characterized as crash, slow growth, bull and recovery states - are required to capture the joint distribution of stock and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917579
methods are applied to a simple portfolio selection problem involving choosing between a stock index and a risk-free asset in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917583
"This paper finds strong evidence of time-variations in the joint distribution of returns on a stock market portfolio and portfolios tracking size--and value effects. Mean returns, volatilities and correlations between these equity portfolios are found to be driven by underlying regimes that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917584
concerning foreign fundamentals. On a learning path, differences in beliefs and estimation risk generate portfolio biases similar …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002917587
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001987130
"This paper proposes a new tractable approach to solving asset allocation problems in situations with a large number of risky assets which pose problems for standard numerical approaches. Investor preferences are assumed to be defined over moments of the wealth distribution such as its skewness...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002977388
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003765665