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"The paper documents a new empirical result that a high level of aggregate U.S. idiosyncratic stock return volatility … currencies. For example, idiosyncratic volatility accounts for over 20 percent variations of the subsequent change in the … out-of-sample forecast are statistically significant. We find the similar result--a positive and significant relation …
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easily matched, chiefly excess volatility and the presence of ARCH effects. These findings are robust to a number of details …
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"We show that when in Lucas trees model the process for dividends is described by a lattice tree subject to infrequent but observable structural breaks, in equilibrium recursive rational learning may inflate the equity risk premium and reduce the risk-free interest rate for low levels of risk...
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